Iraq, Saudi Arabia Prepared To Reverse Oil Production Cuts
Saudi Arabia is ready to start pumping more oil if the United
States indeed ends the sanction waivers they granted eight Iranian oil
importers last November, Reuters reports, citing
a source that remained unnamed.
However, the source added that
Riyadh will not rush into a reversal of the cuts. It will first examine the
effect of the sanction waiver cancelation before it decides how to respond to
it.
Saudi
Arabia will not be alone in this, it seems. Soon after Reuters released its
report on Riyadh’s plans, it followed up with a quote from a spokesman for Iraq’s oil ministry. The official said
no single OPEC member should be allowed to make a unilateral decision on
production changes while the OPEC+ deal is still in effect.
Asked whether OPEC’s
second-largest producer was ready to start pumping more oil, the spokesman said
“Iraq does not take a unilateral decision to compensate for a reduction in the
oil market for any reason.”
Oil prices hit the highest since
the start of the year on news that Washington will today announce a cancelation
of the Iran sanction waivers that it granted to India, China, Japan, South
Korea and a few smaller importers of Iranian crude oil. At the time of writing,
Brent traded close to US$74 a barrel, with West Texas Intermediate at US$65.59
a barrel.
If the
U.S. does cancel the waivers, Brent at US$75 and higher will no longer look
like a distant and unlikely possibility. This means that OPEC+ will likely end
its production cuts in June as originally planned and as Russia has hinted it
would like to see happen.
This may mitigate rising oil
prices, but it will sour relations between the U.S. on the one hand, and India
and China on the other. The two Asian powerhouses are the largest importers of
Iranian crude and both would be quite unwilling to pay a lot more for the oil
they import.
China
was quick to respond: a foreign ministry official said earlier today that Beijing has consistently opposed the
unilateral U.S. sanctions against Tehran.
India
followed: an unnamed source told Reuters
New Delhi was hoping to secure permission from Washington to continue importing
Iranian crude.